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saintinsanity 10-Aug-15, 14:02 |
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saintinsanity 10-Aug-15, 15:07 |
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saintinsanity 10-Aug-15, 15:35 |
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![]() · Published August 04, 2015 · FoxNews.com Businessman Donald Trump continues to gain ground in the race for the Republican nomination. What’s more, the number of GOP primary voters saying they would at least consider backing Trump has more than doubled in the last two months. Meanwhile, support for Democratic frontrunner former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton remains high, despite sliding to its lowest yet. These are some of the findings from the latest Fox News national poll on the 2016 presidential race. Trump receives the backing of 26 percent of self-identified Republican primary voters -- up from 18 percent in mid-July and 11 percent a month ago. That’s not only the highest level of support for Trump, but it’s also the highest any GOP candidate has received since the Fox poll began asking the question in December 2013. Trump’s rise hasn’t hurt former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who garners 15 percent and is the only other Republican in double-digits. He was at 14 percent in mid-July and 15 percent in June. Behind Trump and Bush, it’s Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker at 9 percent, retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson at 7 percent, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee at 6 percent each, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul at 5 percent a piece, and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and Ohio Gov. John Kasich get 3 percent each. That group is followed by businesswoman Carly Fiorina and former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum tied at 2 percent, former Texas Gov. Rick Perry and Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal tied at 1 percent and former New York Gov. George Pataki, South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham and former Virginia Gov. Jim Gilmore receive less than 1 percent support. Two Republicans threw their hat in the ring in the last two weeks. Kasich formally announced July 21 and his support went from two percent in mid-July to three percent in the new poll. Gilmore made his candidacy official July 30. Men (29 percent) are a bit more likely than women (24 percent) to back Trump -- yet he’s the top vote-getter for both. Another example of GOP primary voters increasingly liking what they hear from Trump: 34 percent say they would “definitely” vote for him, which is more than four times what it was two months ago (8 percent). And the number who would “never” support Trump dropped 26 percentage points: it was 59 percent in June and 33 percent now. Graham (40 percent), Christie (34 percent) and Pataki (34 percent) now have more voters than the Donald saying they would never vote for them. Only nine percent would “never” vote for Walker. That gives him the best rating among GOP candidates on that measure, although he’s also one of the least well-known candidates: 47 percent say they “want more information” about him before deciding their vote. Winning isn’t everything -- or at least electability isn’t foremost in the minds of GOP primary voters right now. When asked what they want in their party’s nominee, they say being a strong leader (29 percent) matters more than having true conservative values (20 percent), beating the Democrat (13 percent), having the right experience (13 percent) and shaking things up in Washington (13 percent). Those who prioritize strong leadership are most likely to back Trump (29 percent), Bush (19 percent), Walker (10 percent), Rubio (7 percent), Kasich (5 percent) and Paul (5 percent). While 40 percent of GOP primary voters say economic issues will be most important in deciding their vote for the party’s nomination, some 31 percent say national security will matter most. Another 12 percent say immigration issues will be most important and 7 percent say social issues. Trump is ahead among some sought-after GOP constituencies. For example, the current favorites among the Tea Party movement are Trump (33 percent), Walker (15 percent), Cruz (13 percent) and Carson (10 percent). The top picks among white evangelical Christians include Trump (22 percent), Bush (17 percent), Carson (10 percent), Huckabee (10 percent) and Walker (10 percent). What if Trump were out of the picture? Republican primary voters were also asked about their second choice candidate, which allows a look at the state of the race if a current candidate were to drop out. Here’s how things stand without Trump: Bush gets 20 percent, followed by Walker at 13 percent, Carson and Cruz at 9 percent, Huckabee at 8 percent, Paul, Rubio and Christie tie at 6 percent, Kasich at 4 percent, and Perry, Fiorina and Santorum get 2 percent each. Switching to the Democratic side, Clinton is still the favorite among self-identified Democratic primary voters. She receives 51 percent while Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders comes in at 22 percent. Yet that is Clinton’s worst showing -- and Sanders’ best. Support for Clinton was 59 percent two weeks ago, 61 percent a month ago -- and has been as high as 63 percent in the months since Sanders entered the race. Vice President Joe Biden, who is said to be considering a run, sits at 13 percent support. By an 18-point margin, Republican primary voters (74 percent) are more likely than their Democratic counterparts (56 percent) to be extremely or very interested in the 2016 election. Overall, voters say the economy is the most important issue facing the country (30 percent). Next it’s terrorism and health care (11 percent each). Less than one voter in 10 says the top problem is immigration (7 percent), foreign policy (7 percent), the federal deficit (7 percent), race relations (5 percent), climate change (5 percent), gay marriage (3 percent), taxes (3 percent) and abortion (2 percent). The economy is the top concern for both Democrats and Republicans. Health care comes in second for Democrats, while for Republicans it is terrorism. Voters split on the job Barack Obama is doing as president: 46 percent approve and 46 percent disapprove. Two weeks ago it was 47-48 percent (July 13-15, 2015). A year ago, 42 percent of voters approved and 49 percent disapproved (August 2014). Eighty-two percent of Democrats approve of Obama’s performance, while 85 percent of Republicans disapprove. Among independents, it is 37 percent approve and 49 percent disapprove. The Fox News poll is based on landline and cell phone interviews with 1,306 randomly chosen registered voters nationwide and was conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R) from July 30-August 2, 2015. The poll has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points for all registered voters, and four points for both Democratic and Republican primary voters. |
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saintinsanity 10-Aug-15, 19:27 |
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![]() According to the poll from NBC and SurveyMonkey, Link above, the race order has changed significantly (except for Trump being on top still). Big gains for Cruz, Fiorina, and Carson; Drops for Bush, Walker, and Christie. 1. Trump 2. Cruz 3. Carson 4-5. Rubio 4-5. Fiorina 6-7. Bush 6-7. Walker 8-9. Paul 8-9, Huckabee ... |
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![]() Carly and Carson are also the welcome, fresh faces because they are not career politicians and made names for themselves away from politics - like Trump. They are True Conservatives, unlike Trump. I never ever claimed that Donald would win the nomination. I doubt Sander would win his Party's nomination. |
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![]() Donald Trump Just Stopped Being Funny Win or lose, Trump's campaign threatens to unleash the Great American Stupid By Matt Taibbi August 22 So two yahoos from Southie in my hometown of Boston severely beat up a Hispanic homeless guy earlier this week. While being arrested, one of the brothers reportedly told police that "Donald Trump was right, all of these illegals need to be deported." When reporters confronted Trump, he hadn't yet heard about the incident. At first, he said, "That would be a shame." But right after, he went on: "I will say, the people that are following me are very passionate. They love this country. They want this country to be great again. But they are very passionate. I will say that." This is the moment when Donald Trump officially stopped being funny. The thing is, even as Donald Trump said and did horrible things during this year's incredible run at the White House, most sane people took solace in the fact that he could never win. (Although new polls are showing that Hillary's recent spiral puts this reassuring thought into jeopardy.) In fact, most veteran political observers figured that the concrete impact of Trump's candidacy would be limited in the worst case to destroying the Republican Party as a mainstream political force. That made Trump's run funny, campy even, like a naughty piece of pornographic performance art. After all, what's more obscene than pissing on the presidency? It seemed even more like camp because the whole shtick was fronted by a veteran reality TV star who might even be in on the joke, although of course the concept was funnier if he wasn't. Read more: www.rollingstone.com |
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![]() He is spot on. He goes on.... "For the sake of argument let's assume Donald Trump is, in American parlance, an ass. So the question is: why is an ass - and not just any old ass but someone widely regarded as a gigantic ass, one of the world's biggest - holding a commanding poll lead over his rivals for the Republican presidential nomination? There are immediate political reasons: • The first Republican primary is five and a half months away so voters can take the irresponsible option now in the knowledge there's still plenty of time to get real. If you look at it this way, Trump's like a marathon runner who takes off like a bat out of hell and is usually last seen being loaded into an ambulance around the halfway mark. • Trump has extraordinary name recognition, a particularly valuable asset in a crowded field. (There are 17 Republican candidates.) As a writer on Politico.com put it this week: "For all the flak Trump receives about littering his name on swag and skyscrapers the way a feral cat marks its territory, doing so is one of the reasons he's trouncing his rivals in the polls. He's been carpet-bombing the electorate with it for the better part of three decades." • Of the others, only Jeb Bush has anything like that level of name recognition and, in his case, it's a mixed blessing. There's Ted Cruz, but he looks and acts like he's just emerged from a Transylvanian vault; there's Mike Huckabee, but his surname sounds like a term of abuse; and there's a bunch of interchangeable middle-aged white men with bland, forgettable names like Walker, Perry and Graham. (For no other reason Marco Rubio, the telegenic Cuban-American from the swing state of Florida, may be worth keeping an eye on.) Then there are big picture reasons. Trump has been an ass for so long that it's taken for granted, hence he gets away with stuff that would bury any other candidate. As is the case with his hair, familiarity has bred resignation, thus making his behaviour less confronting and offensive. Second, there's the fact that there are a lot of asses in America (population around 320 million). Even if the ass ratio is much the same as in other countries - and it's fair to say the global consensus is that America, being the spiritual home of the ass, has a higher per capita ratio than anywhere else - that's an awful lot of asses. More than enough to tilt the polls in Trump's favour. Sure, some minor league asses have run for President but, rather than revel in their ass-iness, as Trump does, they saw it as a liability and wasted resources trying to persuade the electorate that they weren't in fact a**holes. Trump isn't making that mistake. In the words of the Denis Leary song that should be his campaign anthem: "Maybe I shouldn't be singing this song/Ranting and raving and carrying on/Maybe they're right when they tell me I'm wrong/ Nah - I'm an a**hole." Think about what makes an ass. Racism: check. When Trump described Mexican immigrants as rapists and criminal scum, asses from Anchorage to Austin heard a man who speaks their language. Sexism: check. When a female journalist asks tough questions, she's not being professional, she's being a bitch. And why is she being a bitch? Well, if she wasn't already that way, it must be that time of the month. Ignorance: check. How will Trump deal with immigration? Simple, he'll build a wall along the Mexican border. How will he deal with Vladimir Putin and China and Isis? Simple, by being an ass. It's the only language foreigners understand. General vileness: check. John McCain isn't a hero, he's a loser. He went to Vietnam, got shot down, captured, tortured and spent five hellish years as a prisoner of war. Winners like Trump dodged the draft and stayed home getting rich rather than risking their lives for their country. Trump is the candidate the asses of America have been hanging out for. He's the asses' ass." |
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![]() RollingStone has lost all credibility with me after their fabricated rape story. They were already low in that regard, but story put the final nail in the coffin. << A recent "New Zealand Herald" OpEd by Paul Thomas said: "Trump personifies everything the rest of the world despises about America: casual racism, crass materialism, relentless self-aggrandizement, vulgarity on an epic scale." >> 1. casual racism - His argument misquotes Trump. Trump referred to the fact that many illegal immigrants are criminals in ways other than their crossing the border illegally. There are areas near our southern border where the Mexican drug cartels have taken over to the extent that it is not safe for Americans to enter. If Trump is racist, you will have to provide a better example than a misquote. 2. crass materialism - I would agree that Trump is materialistic. Most people are to some degree. Why he chooses the adjective "crass" to describe Trump just sounds like he thinks he is better than Trump and looks down on him. According to dictionary.com, crass means "without refinement". My interpretation is that the author is a snob. 3. relentless self-aggrandizement - He is running for president. Every candidate is relentless in trying to make themselves look like the best one for the job. 4. vulgarity on an epic scale - I have not heard Trump use a swear word. Where is this epic scale vulgarity? The article itself as written uses a vulgar term repeatedly, yet he has the audacity to claim Trump is vulgar. |
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